We are all aware that central banks around the world have been hiking interest rates to reduce inflation back to normal levels. The US economy, and particularly the labour market, have been more resilient than most expected. This means the US central bank might have to hike interest rates higher than in other jurisdictions to …
I’m a big advocate of value investing. If you buy high a quality investment for fair price and hold it for the long run, you can’t help but make a lot of money. But if you can buy the same quality asset cheaply (below its intrinsic value), then it’s likely that you will make even …
Calendar year to date, the stock and bond markets have produced some of the worst returns on record, which is unusual because bonds and stocks are typically negatively correlated. In fact, this has only happened two times over the past 96 years, as illustrated in this chart. Even gold, commodities and property have lost value …
Two years ago I wrote a popular blog that explained some simple share market concepts and jargon (see here). Building on this introductory information, I thought it was timely to discuss basic share market valuation principles to help investors assess whether a stock is over or under valued. To be clear, I’m not advocating …
Investing in the share market is a relatively easy, simple and a low-cost investment strategy to implement, if you know the right way to do it, of course. However, if you don’t know what you’re doing, it’s easy to mess it up. In this blog, I set out how to implement a highly successful (over …
Active fund managers use their skill and experience to pick which stocks to invest in. An alternative to active investing is to invest in low-cost index funds. One criticism of index funds is that they blindly invest in a broad index which might not always make sense. Index funds participate in the highs and lows. …
Growth investors have been well-rewarded over the past decade. For example, the S&P500 index (US market) has delivered an average return of 14.5% p.a. over the past 10 years solely off the back of growth stocks, mainly technology. However, this year to date, value has outperformed growth. If this continues, it could have significant implications …
You may have read commentary that the share market isn’t reflecting reality at the moment. For example, the share market can rise by 3% on the same day that we receive bad news in respect to the spread of the virus. Spectators are left thinking how can market values rise when global economic expectations are …
Over the past decade, investors and large institutions have been deserting expensive active fund managers in return for using their cheaper index equivalents. According to Morningstar, investors in the US withdrew $USD204 million from actively managed investments (net) in the 2019 calendar year. However, low cost index funds continued to grow in popularity receiving (net) …
Coronavirus’ impact on share markets is a hot topic at the moment. We’ve seen global markets fall by over 10% between 21 February and 2 March 2020. It seems that the market’s sentiment shifted literally overnight from a state of being arguably ‘over-optimistic’ to being ‘very fearful’. Some of my clients have voiced their concerns …
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